March 20, 2006

silhouette3.JPG From the desk of Jane Galt:

Direct-to-taxpayer

Will Wilkonson makes an excellent point:

It is incredible to me how often this idea occurs to me, and how seldom it seems to occur to others: If there is a transfer from class A to class B, make it explicit. When you propose making an hidden transfer explicit, people often climb the wall with annoyance. Why? Because the whole point of many hidden transfers is that they are politically viable only because they are hidden. If you like the transfer, you’ll want to keep hiding it.

Hey! Maybe that’s my new favorite Constitutional amendment idea. The Explicit Transfer Amendment! Under the ETA, raising the minimum wage is unconstitutional. Levying extra taxes on business owners or consumers and transferring the money to low-income workers is not. The point is just that the transfer is obvious. If there is a political constituency that is hurt by it, they’ll be able to see that, and speak up for themselves in the political process. I think this falls out of Rawlsian principles of public justification, for what that’s worth.

People who want to do their best to hide the effects of their programs from the public eye have a very, very high burden of proof to persuade me that this is a good idea. Like, top secret nuclear research level burden of proof. I continue to be bewildered at people who, on the one hand, espouse democratic ideals, and on the other hand believe that those ideals are somehow well served by fooling their fellow citizens into going along with something they're against.* Let me join Mr Wilkinson in the cry: if your program is something that a majority of Americans would reject paying for out of their tax dollars, then it is not worth paying for with a tax credit, or forcing others to pay for with their hard-earned cash.

*I am not bewildered by political types who do this; their business is to get elected. I am bewildered by those who profess to be idealists, interested in the public good, rather than power. If your conception of the public good is served by, for example, hiding the economic cost of your program from the majority of American voters by making it a (lousy, inefficient) tax credit, instead of paying for it out of tax revenue, then in what way is your idea of the public good compatible with a democratic vision?

Posted by Jane Galt at March 20, 2006 03:40 PM | TrackBack | Technorati inbound links
Comments

The minimum wage isn't a government transfer any more than corporation laws which allow organizations to exist outside the scope of individual owners, making them much bigger and giving them more bargaining power which allows them to pay lower wages than they would if wage earners had equal bargaining power.

Posted by: Half Sigma on March 20, 2006 04:12 PM

Sounds a lot like Milton Friedman's "negative income tax" idea. Just another example of his genius.

Posted by: m.jed on March 20, 2006 04:14 PM

Errr . . . corporations typically pay much higher wages than privately owned businesses (particularly small ones), in part no doubt because the money isn't coming directly out of the pockets of the managers.

Posted by: Jane Galt on March 20, 2006 04:15 PM

You really really need to make your blog UTF-8.

Posted by: Kim Scarborough on March 20, 2006 04:30 PM

As far as MT is concerned, it is UTF 8. the problem only happens when I'm copying from another blog, presumably one that uses the old character set.

Posted by: Jane Galt on March 20, 2006 04:44 PM

I've said this before about your social security reform. The first step is to change the name to "a pension".

No changes to payouts, or eligibility, or lock-boxes or anything, just change the name.

Anyone arguing against the name change is going to look pretty silly. Who will march in the streets about a name change? (OK. China/Taiwan and Greece/Macedonia will threaten war about name changes, but I mean sane people.)

But once it is called a pension, once you drop this silly pretense of "insurance", other reforms will become possible.

Posted by: Patrick on March 20, 2006 04:54 PM

MT might think you're UTF-8, but Apache doesn't:

Trying 64.235.242.247...
Connected to janegalt.net.
Escape character is '^]'.
HEAD / HTTP/1.1
Host: janegalt.net
HTTP/1.1 200 OK
Date: Mon, 20 Mar 2006 21:56:37 GMT
Server: Apache
X-Powered-By: PHP/4.3.11
Content-Type: text/html

That last line should be

Content-Type: text/html; charset=utf-8
I'll be glad to help fix it if you like...

Posted by: Kim Scarborough on March 20, 2006 05:00 PM

Why is it that every apostrophe is replaced with an a (with a hat over it), a Euro sign, and a "trademark" TM?

Posted by: alan on March 20, 2006 06:29 PM

Of all the blogs I read (the number of which is something between "way too many and "someone needs to get a life"), yours is almost the only one where this "UTF-8" problem happens regularly. As you say, it occurs when you import quotes but all of the other blogs I read regularly import quotes from elsewhere and they don't have the formatting problem yours does.

Posted by: RWRogers on March 20, 2006 06:29 PM

what way is your idea of the public good compatible with a democratic vision?

Simply put, marketing works, and pretending that people are not influenced by marketing isn't idealistic, it's stupid.

Let's take something a little more split down the middle. If I'm for continued American participation in Iraq, then I'm going to damn well want to downplay the casualties by discouraging media attention on them, etc. Am I evilly trying to hide the fact that soldiers are dying? No, I'm simply acknowledging that people *will* be influenced by crying mothers, soldiers screaming in pain as they die, etc.

If I'm against American participation, then I'm not going to want the media to focus on Iraqis thanking Americans for their intervention and begging them to remain to prevent Iraq from becoming a war that kills thousands upon thousands of women and children. Am I evil? No, I'm well aware of people's tendencies to sympathize with those in desperate need.

If I have an opinion, then I've already weighed the two sides and chosen one. But it's stupid to think that everyone will automatically be influenced in the same way by the same materials. If I believe that something is right, then I'm going to try and persuade people to that opinion by marketing it to them in terms that they wil accept.

Being aware that people are swayed by marketing doesn't make one terrible. It simply means on recognizes the need to market *anything*. And it is also silliness to think that anyone who opposes your idea isn't going to be marketing the other direction.

Posted by: Tom West on March 20, 2006 06:59 PM

When the government goes to war, it can use words to downplay the risks and costs of the war, and to emphasize the positive effects of the war, or the risks of not going to war. The government might or might not have a valid argument. They migh or might not even be lying. But either way, it's still a war, and it's difficult to obscure that fact.

What Jane is talking about isn't just marketing. She's talking about structuring the program, regulation, etc. itself in such a way that it obscures the real effects.

Posted by: Jim Nelson on March 20, 2006 07:55 PM

You mean structuring a war to prevent a dictator from gaining Weapons of Mass Destruction when what you are really trying to do is restructure the Middle East to make it less amenable to terrorists?

Look, the war is not a perfect analogy, but implementation *is* a marketing choice. Admittedly in some cases there is a cost to the implementation, but that's marketing costs. And they're real. If you're not willing to market your plans, don't bother making them. It's not the people's responsibility to think you're right. It's your responsibility to persuade them you're right by appealing to them as you can.

I'll point out that I don't notice the Libertarians bending over backwards to announce that policies that give "greater freedom" will absolutely mean that there will be many losers who will suffer greatly from the consequences of that "freedom". Why? Because to do so is bad marketing. So what does a Libertarian do? They use stealth to introduce greater freedoms. Pretend that *everyone* will win, and push onward. If they're not willing to do that, they're not interested in seeing their policies enacted.

Of course, the line between marketing and fraud is a pretty wide grey one. Is it fraud to connect beer and pretty girls in the viewers mind? They're generally not remotely connected in real life. So, as always, it becomes a judgement call as to when the line has been crossed. The only thing to do is to try to avoid crossing the line oneself and point it out noisily when others do.

Posted by: Tom West on March 20, 2006 09:00 PM

My point isn't about rhetoric or persuasion so much. It's a pretty basic point about democratic transparency. Governments use coercion to make things happen. Government coercion can be legitimate, but it has to meet certain conditions. One of the traditional conditions is that a majority of the citizens who are going to be coerced, or a majority of their representatives, have to agree to it. However, if policies are structured so that we can't see whether or how we are being coerced, then we can't freely endorse them in the democratic process. So those policies fail the test of legitimacy.

Part of the issue here is a big principle-agent/incentive compatibility problem between representatives and the citizens they represent. Politicians want to get re-elected. If they can subsidize interest group A at group B's expense without group B really noticing due to the hidden transfer, then that will sound like a real winner to a politician. Which is just to say that the incentives politicians face encourage them to violate the very conditions of transparency and public justification that make their coercive powers legitimate. That sounds like a problem to me.

Politicians would have a constant incentive to try to violate and work around an explicit transfer requirement. Which is exactly why we need one. It would give anyone in the group from which resources are being appropriated standing to file suit in order to repeal the law licensing the hidden transfer under the Constitution. The whole class wouldn't need to notice the hidden transfer, and then fight it off politically. Only one person would have to notice and win in court. If the politicians can succeed in passing a law that makes the transfer explicit, then that's OK--it satisfies the minimal conditions of legitimate government power.

Posted by: Will Wilkinson on March 20, 2006 11:11 PM

Patrick: Don't call SocSec a "pension," call it a "welfare program."

People earn "pensions" by working for one employer for a period of time.

People get "entitlements" or "welfare programs" by voting for politicians who promise to award them--people effectvely give them to themselves.

Posted by: Bristlecone on March 20, 2006 11:35 PM

Jane, the point of democracy is to find out what the people want. However, clearly the people often have false consciousness. Therefore it is the task of the political elite to determine what the people really want, and force them to have it, regardless of the fact that between their racism, sexism, TV watching, and general ignorance they don't know what's good for them. However, we can verify easily enough what they really want. After they are correctly educated by properly credentialed and educated teachers, the people will unlearn their crude ideas and they'll then all vote for Democratic policies. And in fact, most of the people who are properly educated in the state schools do vote Democratic. So you see a sort of higher level of democracy here.

In short, we need to pull the wool over the eyes of the stupid and ignorant for the indefinite future while we educate them into the people they ought to be, but currently aren't. They'll thank us for it in the end.

Posted by: Leonard on March 21, 2006 12:25 AM

madding democracy is not the only thing we're about.

democratic *republicanism* is what we're about.

left to themselves, people would vote that F=mv. they probably would also not vote for free trade.

if you agree that subjecting many things to a plebiscite will end up with bad results for the many, then...

Posted by: asdf on March 21, 2006 01:03 AM

This seems to be at the heart a question of welfare economics and social choice. This means that FIRST we must choose what our goal (equilibrium condition) should look like (a purely normative question.) Then, and only then can we look at how transfers can/should be made, and what externalities will be produced by making the transfers themselves. Certainly, if we are anywhere near a "pareto optimal" point, and want to move to a different point, then some will be made worse off, is it "right" or wrong that they know how (technically) they are being made worse off if everyone before the transfer occured agreed upon the final goal?

Posted by: justinix on March 21, 2006 02:44 AM

Well, I suppose the mortgage tax exclusion would be hard to sell on that basis, or the cigarette tax, but the alcohol tax could be explained as cost transfer to pay for emergency room service for automobile accidents.

Posted by: wkwillis on March 21, 2006 06:13 AM

Bristlecone
Oh, I'd love to have my social security taxes back. It's been thirty five years of the wildest stock, bond, and real estate boom of all time. If it was welfare for the poor instead of the middle class, I'd be so much better off.
Only the bottom five percent, the mentally or physically disabled people would get "social security" as welfare. The other 95% would do just fine.
It was the "Greatest Generation" that got more out than they paid in. We babyboomers haven't got anything back, let alone what we paid, and let's not even get into the interest, dividends, or rent that we have forgone.

Posted by: wkwillis on March 21, 2006 06:21 AM

Tom West,

Yes, everyone does marketing but I think the same rule that applies to business applies to politics in that the worse your product, the more marketing you have to do.

If a product is clearly superior we say it "sells itself." No one has to do much to make people want the product. It is the products that don't work well that have such a huge percentage of their total cost devoted to marketing. When you see a product getting renamed or rebranded repeatedly you can be certain that the product is in trouble. The real-world functionality of the product does not sell it and customers essentially have to be tricked into buying it.

In democratic politics this raises an interesting question: How much do you actually trust or respect the will of the people if you think you have to trick them into voting for your ideas? Viewed from the other direction, if most people don't accept your ideas without a high level of deceit doesn't that suggest that the idea itself might be a bad one?

I think Jane is saying that when we, as individual political actors, find ourselves thinking, "we can't tell people what we honestly think the program does or how it actually works" then that in itself should warn us we have left the path of democracy.

Posted by: Shannon Love on March 21, 2006 08:26 AM

Is it fraud to connect beer and pretty girls in the viewers mind? They're generally not remotely connected in real life.

If you drink enough beer, the girls look prettier.

Posted by: Rand Simberg on March 21, 2006 10:35 AM

Interestingly enough, Rand's observation was the subject of a formal study once, and it confirmed his observation.

Posted by: Rex on March 21, 2006 12:26 PM

It seems to me that very few of the political classes or the "intellectuals" really believe in democracy at all. Its just a vehicle to legitimize their rule. The idea that the filthy peasants can throw the "best and brightest" out of power is a terrifying thought to them. Consider if you will the attitude of many Europeans that it is stupid to expect that democracy can take hold in an Arab country because it goes against the grain of their culture, but at the same time many of those same people support almost unrestricted Arab immigration to their countries and are against any effort to force them to assimilate. If you grant their premise that Arabs are culturally indisposed to democracy, why do you want to import them in large numbers to a democratic country while insisting that they should be able to maintain every bit of their original culture? Is this stupidity on their part? Or is it a long term strategy?

And we are certainly not immune to this in the US. The "McCain-Feingold Reform Bill," aka "The Incumbent's Protection Act" is an ugly example of anti-democratic forces in action.

More and more we see the emergence of Potemkin democracies across the world, where the outward trappings of democracy are maintained but the power of the electorate to effect their will is essentially denied to them. These tend to take one of two forms. There are systems like Iran where the elected representatives do have power but there are restrictions as to who may run for office, and then there are things like the EU where anyone may run for office but the elected assembly has no real power at all. Take your pick. It seems to be the wave of the future.

Posted by: tcobb on March 21, 2006 02:08 PM

The character set problem is this line in the HTML source for the page:

<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1" />
Posted by: Daniel Newby on March 21, 2006 04:57 PM

It happens that my job involves working with nuclear weapons. Surprisingly, most nuclear weapons data is secret, not top secret. Otherwise, yeah, this is stuff I don't ever want to see on the front page of the New York Times. (And I don't doubt they would publish it, if given the opportunity.)

Making transfers explicit is a fine principle, but I'm skeptical it could be successfully codified as a Constitutional amendment even by a Congress full of people of good will. And I don't believe we have a Congress full of people of good will.

Posted by: Kent on March 22, 2006 04:58 PM

if most people don't accept your ideas without a high level of deceit doesn't that suggest that the idea itself might be a bad one?

Only if you believe that popularity = correctness.

If we go back 50 years, I'd be perfectly willing to say that the majority was wrong with respect to racist beliefs, and I'd be willing to use "deceitful" measures to rectify this situation (to whatever small degree would be practical).

Does this mean that I consider myself anti-democratic? No. I do not expect public opinion to be identical to mine. I'll fight to change it, but just because I believe that the public is wrong about a particular subject doesn't meant that I want society to face the full brunt of the consequences of that belief.

Right after 9-11, there were a pretty large number of people who wanted to hit whatever they could as fast as they could. "Nuke Mecca" was not an uncommon sentiment. Are you suggesting that if a majority held this opinion that:

  1. It would be wrong to use subterfuge to alter it?
  2. It would be wrong to use subterfuge to avoid doing so?
  3. Failing to agree with the sentiment means you do not respect democracy?

People are people. Pretending that the majority is always right is as stupid as pretending the majority is always wrong.

Posted by: Tom West on March 22, 2006 09:25 PM

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